Fixed Income Q1 2022

Interest rates are rising – quickly – making bonds more attractive. For example, the 2-year yield on U.S. government bonds increased nearly 2.4 percentage points over the last twelve months, including nearly 1 percentage point in the last month alone! The rise in bond yields in the past few months has created both a challenge and an opportunity for investors. As the Fed pivots toward raising rates to combat high inflation, market expectations drive up bond yields. Given the already low level of yield offered by high-quality bonds, bond prices have come under pressure as investors recalibrate their return expectations. With less income to cushion the price impact, bond “durations” are relatively high for a given maturity, which means the price impact of interest rate changes is greater. Returns for most fixed income sectors were negative through the first quarter of the year due to the increase in market yields, which results in a decline in bond prices. With market yields moving higher, investors have greater potential to generate more income from bond portfolios. We have generally favored exposure to short and intermediate maturity bonds and bond funds in client portfolios for the following reasons: shorter maturity bonds are less subject to price changes as market yields adjust, while bond funds are positioned to benefit in a variety of ways from better reinvestment opportunities and active management.

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Economic & Market Commentary

Fixed Income Q2 2024

As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to leave short -term policy rates unchanged at 5.50% at its June meeting. The Fed acknowledged “modest further progress” on inflation but is not quite ready to cut rates. We expect the Fed to keep interest rates at current levels for most of this year. For investors, that means cash yields will remain elevated. But there is also a risk to holding too much cash
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Economic & Market Commentary

Equities Q2 2024

Strong stock market performance continued through the second quarter, but at a more moderate pace and with fewer positive contributors when compared to the first quarter. Three months ago, we highlighted strong economic growth, falling inflation, and hopes of near-term Fed rate cuts as the three key positive dynamics sending stocks higher in 2024. Today, that list has narrowed to two. Economic growth remains strong and inflation is still moving in the right direction.
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