Fixed Income Q3 2020

Pushed lower by monetary policy and direct market intervention (such as asset purchases) by central banks. The result has been that bond holders, who purchase these instruments expecting a steady stream of coupon income, have been forced to accept lower levels of income. Another reason investors purchase bonds is to receive their principal back at a specified time. Unlike stocks, bonds mature and return principal on a maturity date (some bonds have flexible maturity schedules based on “call” provisions that allow the issuer to choose when to redeem the bonds). Unless the borrower defaults – typically a last resort – investors will receive their money back at maturity plus interest earned over the holding period.

In this way, bonds offer not only income but safety of principal. For this reason, bond investments often make sense as a way to invest for shorter-term horizons or to earn some incremental yield above cash
and money market instruments. Because of the relative safety of bonds, having a dedicated allocation to fixed income investments can provide a cushion in the portfolio against overall market risk. High quality bond prices tend to remain stable in times of uncertainty, especially when interest rates are not expected to rise and inflation is low.

As low as bond yields are in the United States, they remain relatively attractive versus the roughly $14 trillion in foreign bonds that trade with negative yields, a dynamic that we do not expect to see in the U.S.

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Fixed Income Q3 2023

After a strong sell-off in 2022, bonds now offer much higher returns.  We see limited downside risk in short- and intermediate-term bonds, as the bias towards rates is now to the downside.
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Economic & Market Commentary

Equities Q3 2023

Inflation, although high, is gradually coming down, measured on a year-over-year basis. The Fed has signaled that short-term interest rates might have reached their peak but are likely to remain elevated for an extended period.
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